Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 254.020035 286.507106 322.559672 365.714762 416.200256 473.673473 544.453180
2025-05-11 200.583165 241.854053 291.635077 356.782808 440.800369 546.903271 693.301533
2025-05-18 171.505834 215.629418 271.745346 349.589560 456.781495 602.254216 820.080942
2025-05-25 157.183329 204.700583 267.913227 360.145663 494.744502 689.748161 1004.939757
2025-06-01 142.445621 190.784633 257.458434 358.843340 514.132348 751.976578 1162.961997
2025-06-08 128.947558 176.774394 244.766393 351.840444 522.820581 797.787055 1302.266777
2025-06-15 119.711465 167.709702 237.905984 352.186362 542.140194 862.556886 1486.745536
2025-06-22 109.870007 156.720349 226.879076 344.350972 546.428298 901.739904 1631.721877
2025-06-29 102.932796 149.421791 220.670179 343.323214 561.681339 962.132101 1831.395048
2025-07-06 94.096300 138.439145 207.618777 329.301347 551.839619 973.835356 1931.539426
2025-07-13 91.709391 137.362463 210.304637 342.392978 593.010844 1090.794765 2293.766783
2025-07-20 89.746993 136.757760 213.622321 356.830692 638.625053 1225.050845 2736.945017
2025-07-27 85.319240 131.891947 209.527582 357.698136 658.492232 1310.351019 3090.339835
2025-08-03 79.688152 124.626273 200.722662 348.845550 657.391601 1349.121033 3332.851783
2025-08-10 74.902726 118.453505 193.322797 341.864929 659.172594 1394.799274 3610.994521
2025-08-17 73.070615 117.230574 194.649424 352.131882 699.913235 1543.206315 4260.791798
2025-08-24 69.778385 113.204607 190.507622 350.865313 714.459303 1628.495790 4741.670486
2025-08-31 66.031334 108.124376 184.014437 344.053098 715.120434 1677.240915 5116.316825
2025-09-07 63.483296 105.043903 181.059532 344.389619 732.907876 1777.040234 5728.267457
2025-09-14 60.170681 100.365934 174.704526 336.766629 730.064513 1817.428894 6125.569433
2025-09-21 57.864746 97.415854 171.505274 335.766651 743.838233 1910.451428 6794.824842
2025-09-28 54.314480 91.948887 162.994121 322.121879 723.122313 1893.389611 6965.117308
2025-10-05 53.826729 92.233022 165.967583 334.861542 774.130667 2116.602415 8411.650889